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The Prospective Prediction of Community Violence after Release from Prison with the Risk Screener Violence (RS-V)

  • Marjam V. Smeekens*
  • , M. De Vries Robbe
  • , A. Popma
  • , M. M. Kempes
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Netherlands Institute of Forensic Psychiatry and Psychology (NIFP)
  • Leiden University
  • Amsterdam UMC - Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

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Abstract

The prevention of community violence is a key issue for the criminal justice system due to its significant impact on victims and society. Within Dutch prisons, the recently implemented easy-to-use Risk Screener Violence (RS-V) enables the early detection of violent behaviors among incarcerated individuals in support of timely intervention. The current prospective study found sound predictive validity of RS-V's rated by prison staff for violent (re)offending 6 and 12 months after release from prison. Predictive accuracy was higher for violent recidivism than general recidivism. These results indicate that the RS-V may contribute to overall risk management. However, effective intervention strategies and risk communication are essential.
Original languageEnglish
Article number00328855251328871
Pages (from-to)350-374
Number of pages25
JournalPrison Journal
Volume105
Issue number3
Early online date2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2025

Keywords

  • predictive validity
  • prison
  • recidivism
  • risk screening
  • violence risk

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