Risk Factors for 30-day Mortality in Patients with Surgically Treated Necrotizing Enterocolitis: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study

Adinda G. H. Pijpers, Ceren Imren, Otis C. van Varsseveld, Laurens D. Eeftinck Schattenkerk, Claudia M. G. Keyzer-Dekker, Jan B. F. Hulscher, Elisabeth M. W. Kooi, Chris H. P. van den Akker, Joost van Schuppen, H. Rob Taal, Jos W. R. Twisk, Joep P. M. Derikx, Marijn J. Vermeulen*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Purpose Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is a leading cause of death in very preterm born infants. The most severe variant is NEC totalis (NEC-T), where necrosis of the small intestines is so extensive that curative care is often withdrawn. Mortality and NEC-T are difficult to predict before surgery, complicating counseling and decision-making. This study's aim was to identify preoperative risk factors for overall 30-day mortality and NEC-T in preterm born infants with surgical NEC. Methods This multicenter retrospective cohort study included preterm born infants (<35 weeks) surgically treated for NEC between 2008 and 2022. NEC-T was defined as necrosis of the majority of small intestine, leading to a surgical open-close procedure without curative treatment. Preoperative risk factors for 30-day postoperative mortality, NEC-T, and mortality without NEC-T were assessed using multivariable logistic regression analyses. Results Among the 401 patients included, the 30-day mortality rate was 34.2% (137/401), of which 18.7% (75/401) involved NEC-T. Significant risk factors for mortality were male sex (odds ratio [OR]: 2.53; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.54-4.16), lower birthweight (OR: 0.91; 95% CI: 0.86-0.96/100 g), portal venous gas (PVG) on abdominal radiograph (OR: 1.89; 95% CI: 1.11-3.20), need for cardiovascular support between NEC diagnosis and surgery (OR: 3.26; 95% CI: 2.02-5.24), and shorter time between diagnosis and surgery (OR: 0.74; 95% CI: 0.65-0.84). Similar risk factors were found for NEC-T. In patients without NEC-T, the need for cardiovascular support (OR: 2.33; 95% CI: 1.33-4.09) and time between diagnosis and surgery (OR: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.64-0.91) were significant. Conclusion Male sex, lower birthweight, PVG, cardiovascular support, and a short interval between NEC diagnosis and surgery are preoperative risk factors for 30-day mortality and NEC-T. Preoperative cardiovascular support and a shorter time interval between diagnosis and surgery are also risk factors for mortality without NEC-T.

Original languageEnglish
JournalEuropean journal of pediatric surgery
Early online date2025
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 2025

Keywords

  • NEC totalis
  • cardiovascular support
  • neonates
  • portal venous gas

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